In our Bitcoin daily analysis for 15 December 2025, price action continues to respect a clear bearish continuation pattern. Today BTC tested a critical level of this structure — the neckline of the daily head and shoulders pattern — keeping short-term risk skewed to the downside while higher timeframes still suggest potential for a larger reversal around the 3M low.
Bitcoin 3M chart Dec 15 2025 highlighting test of 3M low at 82,550.01 as major support
Technical Analysis Key Points
- Today the price tested a critical level of the bearish continuation pattern, the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
- On the 3M chart we can see a test of the 3M low @ $82.550,01, acting for now as support
- On the weekly the price experienced resistance at the prior range lows/weekly level, with a bearish reaction, most likely retesting the 3M low.
- Also on the weekly we can notice a larger inverse head and shoulders pattern. With the bearish candle of 17 November, we already retested the shoulder 2 but we most likely will retest again.
- Between the weekly level and the 3M low we can notice the daily range (exactly). Within that range we can see a bearish continuation pattern being printed, the head and shoulders pattern. Here we just touched the neckline and we can expect a bullish correction towards the shoulder level, to initiate the bearish continuation the weekly shoulder 2.
Market Structure Analysis
From a market structure angle, this Bitcoin daily analysis connects tightly with higher timeframes.
The 3M chart shows price leaning on the 3M low at $82,550.01, which currently acts as major support and the base of a possible larger accumulation.
On the weekly chart, BTC has been rejected from the prior range lows / weekly level, confirming that zone as strong resistance and opening the door for another test of the 3M low.
At the same time, weekly structure hints at a broader inverse head and shoulders, where the November 17 bearish candle already tagged shoulder 2 once and may do so again.
Inside this broader context, daily technical analysis highlights a clean head and shoulders pattern exactly confined within the range between the weekly level and the 3M low. Today’s neckline test fits a classic bearish continuation script, with any short-term bounce likely only a corrective move back toward the daily shoulder zone.
We deliberately focus on pattern and horizontal support resistance here and do not add any Fibonacci structure at this stage. If we see a bullish daily candle tomorrow, we can pull a Fibonacci retracement and define our daily entry zone
Key Levels and Scenarios
Bullish scenario (corrective only): A bounce from the neckline toward the shoulder level inside the daily range would offer a temporary relief rally, but as long as price remains below the weekly level, we treat this as a counter-trend move within a broader bearish context.
Key levels to watch:
Weekly level / prior range lows: Main resistance that capped the recent weekly bounce.
Daily shoulder level: Expected target for any short-term bullish correction from the neckline.
Daily neckline: Pivot of the active head and shoulders; continued acceptance below favours downside continuation.
3M low at $82,550.01: Primary support and potential base of the larger inverse head and shoulders.
Daily range boundaries between weekly level and 3M low: Defines the active trading range for short-term setups.
Trading Implications
For traders, this configuration supports a cautious, trend-following stance: short setups are favoured on rallies toward the daily shoulder / weekly resistance, with invalidation above the weekly level and profit-taking planned near the 3M low zone.
This is not financial advice; always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately.