In this TOTAL daily analysis for December 2025 we see the first meaningful bullish reaction after tagging a key daily liquidity level. Price respects the daily entry zone while sitting between weekly support and the daily entry resistance, creating a pivotal support resistance battleground. Our technical analysis follows the Croesus naked-chart framework of structure, liquidity and clean levels.
TOTAL daily chart Dec 2025 with IC support, daily liquidity and competing bearish/bullish patterns.
Trend = bearish
Technical Analysis Key Points
- Yesterday the index hit the daily liquidity level, but had a nice buy back wick at the end of the day
- Today we saw the index printing a bullish impulsive candle, shadowing the last 4 bearish candles. This means there is a switch of momentum. Bulls are showing possible interest to take back control (at least for the moment being.
- Bullish = switch of momentum + if the IC-zone holds as strong support zone for a bullish reversal, printing a inverse head and shoulder.
- Bearish = even with a strong momentum, bulls are not able to break the daily entry zone. If we see a reversal, this a typical set-up for a bearish natural W, where, after printing the bearish W, the index printed equal lows and equal highs. This only confirms the strength of the first bearish W.
- We have to remain very cautious. Eventhough we expect a bullish retracement after hitting a weekly level and printing a first bullish candle, the index could still go lower before correcting higher.
Market Structure Analysis
Our TOTAL daily timeframe analysis highlights clear two-sided risk. The strong buyback wick at daily liquidity and today’s impulsive candle show a short-term momentum shift, suggesting bulls may attempt a corrective leg higher. If the IC-zone continues to act as support, the local lows can evolve into an inverse head and shoulder base, signalling a larger reversal attempt.
However, the broader structure is still dominated by the prior downtrend. The daily entry zone remains unbroken resistance. Failure to clear this area keeps the earlier bearish natural W pattern valid, especially if price starts to print equal highs and equal lows below that zone. In that case the first bearish W acts as the controlling structure, with room for another leg lower before any sustained retracement. Fibonacci tools can later refine targets once a clear swing low is confirmed, but the current focus is on liquidity and market structure rather than exact ratios.
Key Levels and Scenarios
Bullish scenario: as long as the IC-zone and daily liquidity area hold, we look for a grind higher into the daily entry zone and possibly above, confirming the inverse H&S and opening room for a broader corrective rally.
Daily liquidity level: origin of the current bounce and key short-term support
IC-zone support: must hold to keep the bullish reversal idea alive
Daily entry zone: main resistance; rejection here favours the bearish natural W
Weekly level: medium-term support anchoring the expected retracement
Equal highs/equal lows area: if re-established, it confirms continuation of the dominant bearish structure
Trading Implications
For active traders this is a classic wait-for-confirmation zone: aggressive longs may only be justified near IC support with tight risk, while swing shorts look more attractive on clear rejection from the daily entry zone, using position sizing that respects the still-volatile environment; conservative participants may prefer to stand aside until either the inverse H&S or bearish natural W is clearly confirmed.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.